A season long project to track my Formula One predictions and accuracy. Each race week, I create 5-10 predictions. These could be related to drivers, media, weather, results, car performance, etc.. It's all free reign.

I do, however, strive for a couple of things when coming up with these. One, authenticity. I consume a lot of Formula one related media, and while my thoughts may be swayed by it, I will try to come up with creative predictions. Two, ambitious (or, at least, not 'obvious') predictions. No, I will not predict Lando Norris in the top five. No, I will not predict Ferrari fucking up strategy. For most of the season, unless something goes awry, these are a given. No cheap shots.

The Formula One Predictions

2025

The Predictions

The Results

A quick section on my reasoning and retrospective.

First of all, with how the Red Bull looked in Pre Season tests, I was not optimistic (resident Max Verstappen fan, here). I did not take into account two things... One, a wet race. Max is particularly adept in the rain. Two, Max Verstappen. My bad, really, because what the fuck was I even thinking?

In regards to a rookie overtaking Alonso, not a bad take on my part. I was there. I was so, so close. Unfortunately, on lap 34, he lost the car on the exit of turn 6. There is not a doubt in my mind that, given five more laps, Antonelli would have passed him. That one, to forestall my ego getting too small, was just bad luck.

Credit where credit is due; a great race from Lance Stroll, good points for Aston Martin. Excited to watch him bin the car for the next five races, in Stroll fashion.

Thank you, Liam Lawson and Co.. A desperate strategy call from Red Bull put Lawson on slicks in a downpour. On lap 47, he lost the rears around turn 2. I'm not particularly predisposed to being a Lawson fan, so... no skin off my back. Another much needed point!

God awful start. We die like men.

A crash, spin, stall, or false start.

At least.

By Formula A, I refer to Red Bull, McLaren, Mercedes, and Ferrari.

In My Defense

March 14-16, 2025

The Predictions

Race Qualifying, not Sprint Qualifying.

Think the power outage during Pre Season Testing and such.

I have not yet defined 'shock'.

In the Grand Prix.

Okay, let's talk sprint race. While I would consider a Hamilton win a 'shock', his podium company is not. Max and Oscar are expected front runners in any format. I thought it would be a bit of a stretch to give myself that point.

My red flag prediction was... not great. The Shanghai International Circuit is quite robust. This would have been a better predicition for one of the upcoming ancient tracks.

Sauber getting into Q3 was a stretch. With how close the times are, Sauber is least likely to get there, but that's what makes the predictions fun. Nonetheless, Hulkenburg qualifying P12 was very impressive. Their race pace... not so much.

After the post race disqualifications, Williams scored 7 points. This prediction, as well as my Haas prediction, I stand by. Bearman and Ocon's qualifying gaps aren't too big.

Speaking of which, a great weekend for Hass gives them 14 points (after DSQs) and throws them to P6 in the Constructors' Championship. A fantastic drive for Ocon this weekend. I'm happy to see Haas' improved pace, hopefully this shows that they wont be back of the pack all year like we thought after Melbourne.

Making bad predictions... like a winner.

March 21-23, 2025

The Predictions

Just for fun. I am NOT manifesting.

He needs it.

I will be waiting on Twitter, thanks.

April 4-6 , 2025